Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 1.857129 2.123877 2.416831 2.762673 3.160116 3.602946 4.134317
2025-07-13 1.513293 1.889470 2.341348 2.925282 3.661653 4.561772 5.749215
2025-07-20 1.270067 1.682879 2.209863 2.934218 3.907798 5.176445 6.963916
2025-07-27 1.131646 1.574131 2.167855 3.026486 4.242959 5.914443 8.402323
2025-08-03 0.997945 1.447068 2.075984 3.026145 4.434889 6.461505 9.625362
2025-08-10 0.886144 1.333211 1.983443 3.004834 4.581979 6.946182 10.798948
2025-08-17 0.787014 1.224146 1.882103 2.952791 4.668261 7.338122 11.863202
2025-08-24 0.727895 1.168050 1.852200 3.003125 4.912491 7.991358 13.407523
2025-08-31 0.676643 1.117815 1.824428 3.050663 5.152471 8.656448 15.040477
2025-09-07 0.618977 1.050420 1.760922 3.030012 5.272375 9.128639 16.388813
2025-09-14 0.562256 0.978449 1.681892 2.972857 5.319931 9.476092 17.547001
2025-09-21 0.516889 0.921338 1.622124 2.941981 5.408198 9.899843 18.886380
2025-09-28 0.465835 0.853012 1.542873 2.880659 5.458872 10.306228 20.338255
2025-10-05 0.451433 0.850697 1.583591 3.049887 5.970893 11.653421 23.850143
2025-10-12 0.417684 0.807935 1.543996 3.059247 6.170717 12.416426 26.279032
2025-10-19 0.398010 0.789833 1.548790 3.155597 6.555079 13.593156 29.741333
2025-10-26 0.369594 0.751131 1.508733 3.155240 6.737470 14.372101 32.444129
2025-11-02 0.341953 0.710929 1.461150 3.132986 6.869076 15.056414 35.027517
2025-11-09 0.314155 0.667401 1.402009 3.078639 6.922550 15.573583 37.292375
2025-11-16 0.298564 0.648219 1.392060 3.131201 7.222920 16.683516 41.139489
2025-11-23 0.283998 0.629705 1.381497 3.180844 7.522015 17.826582 45.235396
2025-11-30 0.265133 0.599623 1.342235 3.159278 7.648522 18.572803 48.427152
2025-12-07 0.245208 0.565105 1.289468 3.099593 7.674465 19.075310 51.051823